Arsenal (K) 3-1 OH Leuven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Feb 2026

📅18/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
87%
1.11
Draw
7%
8.78
Away
6%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
25%
4.58
Over
75%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
13%
9.92
2-3
39%
2.55
4-5
32%
2.25
6+
16%
3.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
2%
34.0
X/1
27%
4.25
X/2
2%
34.0
X/X
2%
21.8
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
2%
34.0
2/X
2%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Arsenal (K) win — 87%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
87%
Home Win
84%
+2.5pp
7%
Draw
8%
-1.1pp
6%
Away Win
8%
-1.3pp
25%
Under 2.5
18%
+6.0pp
75%
Over 2.5
82%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.16/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.84
-21% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +83%
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
27.0 Crosses 7.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.26 xG 0.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
559 Passes 272
92% Pass Accuracy 80%
58 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2026 OH Leuven (K) OH Leuven (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K
17.12.2025 OH Leuven (K) OH Leuven (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
3-1
AWAY OH Leuven (K)
2.32 xG 0.92
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
504 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs OH Leuven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) saw off OH Leuven (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 87%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 63% of the ball to OH Leuven (K)'s 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.32 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.00 for OH Leuven (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs OH Leuven (K)?

Arsenal (K) 3-1 OH Leuven (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs OH Leuven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 87%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 87%, draw 7%, OH Leuven (K) 6%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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