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Real Madrid (K) vs Paris (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid (K) v Paris (K) — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid (K) vs Paris (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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0-1
HT 0-0
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Paris (K)
ŞMP-K
2-1
HT 2-0
Real Madrid (K)
ŞMP-K
Real Madrid (K) 2-0 Paris (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) got the better of Paris (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 70% of the ball to Paris (K)'s 30%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.78 to 0.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paris (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 1.50 for Paris (K).
What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Paris (K)?
Real Madrid (K) 2-0 Paris (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Paris (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 59%, draw 25%, Paris (K) 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.