River Plate 1-0 Ciudad de Bolívar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 18 Feb 2026

📅18/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
76%
+4.2pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.1pp
5%
Away Win
7%
-2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ciudad de Bolívar EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.83/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/2.11
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
513 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
21.4 Crosses 7.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ciudad de Bolívar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.11 xG 0.10
78% Ball Possession 22%
23 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
569 Passes 97
87% Pass Accuracy 57%
42 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2025 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 2-0 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-0
AWAY Ciudad de Bolívar
2.25 xG 0.16
82% Ball Possession 18%
27 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
558 Passes 66
88% Pass Accuracy 54%
42 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Ciudad de Bolívar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate edged past Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 82% of the ball to Ciudad de Bolívar's 18%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.25 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold River Plate's control.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

River Plate 1-0 Ciudad de Bolívar in the Argentina - Cup on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split River Plate 80%, draw 15%, Ciudad de Bolívar 5%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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