Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Mar 2024

Crawley Town
1-1 HT 0-0
Stockport County
📅18/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crawley Town vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.42
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
9%
8.03
X/2
15%
4.6
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.49
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.42 — our 19% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.12/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.88
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.9 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Crawley Town vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.74 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
241 Passes 307
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 3-3 HT 2-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
14.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
13.09.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
1.05 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 53% of the ball to Stockport County's 47%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.05 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Crawley Town and 2.33 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Stockport County?

Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 2nd Division on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 33%, draw 22%, Stockport County 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →