Rossoblu Potenza 1-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
6.24
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.64/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.93
+35% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Picerno Picerno 3-1 HT 3-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
11.05.2023 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
12.02.2023 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
15.10.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-2 HT 0-1 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
16.03.2022 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
07.11.2021 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
1-0
AWAY Picerno
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rossoblu Potenza vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza edged past Picerno 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rossoblu Potenza found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rossoblu Potenza had 46% of the ball to Picerno's 54%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rossoblu Potenza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rossoblu Potenza and 1.17 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Rossoblu Potenza vs Picerno?

Rossoblu Potenza 1-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rossoblu Potenza vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rossoblu Potenza 35%, draw 28%, Picerno 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Picerno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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