Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.82
Over
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
30%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bayer Leverkusen (K) win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-0
AWAY Köln (K)
1.64 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 3
345 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) saw off Köln (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 52% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 48%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.64 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Köln (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 59%, draw 19%, Köln (K) 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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