San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.5pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.20/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.27
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
17.07.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
01.08.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
20.03.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman beat Estudiantes Caseros 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Martin Tucuman had 56% of the ball to Estudiantes Caseros's 44%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.33 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Estudiantes Caseros?

San Martin Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 39%, draw 34%, Estudiantes Caseros 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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