El Nacional vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Emelec
EKV1
3-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
2-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 0-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec squeezed past El Nacional 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Emelec made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, El Nacional had 43% of the ball to Emelec's 57%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.70 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Emelec.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Emelec?
El Nacional 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated an Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 35%, draw 26%, Emelec 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.