Hearts of Oak 2-1 Heart of Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.29/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-22% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts of Oak
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Heart of Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.11.2023 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
POST-MATCH Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak edged past Heart of Lions 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts of Oak as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions?

Hearts of Oak 2-1 Heart of Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts of Oak win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hearts of Oak 53%, draw 26%, Heart of Lions 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts of Oak) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts of Oak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →