Achuapa 1-2 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.51
-1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Coban Imperial
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.11.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
13.03.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.01.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
09.10.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 2-2 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
05.08.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
27.02.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 0-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-2
AWAY Coban Imperial
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial squeezed past Achuapa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 54% of the ball to Coban Imperial's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Achuapa and 1.17 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Coban Imperial?

Achuapa 1-2 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 41%, draw 28%, Coban Imperial 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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