Crewe Alexandra U21 2-4 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 beat Crewe Alexandra U21 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Burnley U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 2-4 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 22%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 55%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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