18/03/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
28%
Draw
25%
30%
Away Win
38%
45%
Under 2.5
42%
55%
Over 2.5
58%
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
47%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Sailiya v Al Mesaimeer — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Sailiya
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Mesaimeer
EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
352 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
403 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Sailiya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Al Mesaimeer
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
61%
Ball Possession
39%
20
Total Shots
17
11
Shots on Target
10
5
Corners
8
The Meetings
28.04.2022
Al Sailiya
2-2
HT 1-2
Al Mesaimeer
KQFAK
2-2
HT 1-2
Al Mesaimeer
KQFAK
POST-MATCH
Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Mesaimeer got the better of Al Sailiya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
Our pre-match lean was Al Sailiya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
Al Sailiya 1-3 Al Mesaimeer in the Qatar - QFA Cup on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Sailiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sailiya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Sailiya 42%, draw 28%, Al Mesaimeer 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sailiya) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Sailiya)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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KQFAK
More Qatar - QFA Cup
18 Mar 2024