CA La Paz 1-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Mar 2024

CA La Paz
1-1 HT 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
📅18/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.8
Over 2.5
30%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
33%
-7.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
52%
+18.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
48%
-18.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CA La Paz v Correcaminos UAT — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.78/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.91
+33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
08.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.10.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 4-2 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Correcaminos UAT shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for CA La Paz and 1.50 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

CA La Paz 1-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 42%, draw 32%, Correcaminos UAT 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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