Vilaverdense 1-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Mar 2024

Vilaverdense
1-1 HT 0-0
CF Os Belenenses
📅18/03/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Vilaverdense vs CF Os Belenenses Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vilaverdense v CF Os Belenenses — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 33%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
-27% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +98%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses 13.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vilaverdense vs CF Os Belenenses Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-1D-0L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.66 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
193 Passes 339
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.11.2023 CF Os Belenenses 0-2 HT 0-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR2
23.04.2023 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense and CF Os Belenenses couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vilaverdense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.00 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs CF Os Belenenses?

Vilaverdense 1-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 35%, draw 28%, CF Os Belenenses 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5
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