Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Rayo Zuliano — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Rayo Zuliano
VEN
1-0
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
Monagas 2-1 Rayo Zuliano — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas edged past Rayo Zuliano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Monagas had 67% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 33%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.59 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monagas's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Monagas and 2.00 for Rayo Zuliano.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano?
Monagas 2-1 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monagas 46%, draw 22%, Rayo Zuliano 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.