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Real Madrid (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid (K) 2-0 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) beat Arsenal (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 48% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 52%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.11 — on chances, Arsenal (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Real Madrid (K) 2-0 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 34%, draw 22%, Arsenal (K) 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.