Chelsea (K) 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
76%
-2.1pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.2pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.46/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.65
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
470 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
47.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
27.3 Crosses 10.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.46 xG 1.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
452 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
45 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
02.03.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
08.12.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
15.09.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.12.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
30.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
2-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.08 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
485 Passes 319
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) edged past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 58% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 42%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.83 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Chelsea (K) 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 74%, draw 17%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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