Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-1 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
0.83/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.89
-27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo
2W-0D-2L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR2
06.06.2023 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR2
12.07.2022 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR2
26.10.2021 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-8 HT 0-7 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY 2 de Mayo
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo San Lorenzo and 2 de Mayo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was 2 de Mayo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sportivo San Lorenzo had 41% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 59%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sportivo San Lorenzo and 1.00 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo?

Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-1 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated an 2 de Mayo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sportivo San Lorenzo 34%, draw 25%, 2 de Mayo 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (2 de Mayo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (2 de Mayo) ✓ Under 2.5
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