Real Madrid U19 2-1 Sporting CP U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
2-1
AWAY Sporting CP U19
1.47 xG 1.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
394 Passes 162
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Sporting CP U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 edged past Sporting CP U19 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 66% of the ball to Sporting CP U19's 34%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.47 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Real Madrid U19 2-1 Sporting CP U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Sporting CP U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 55%, draw 22%, Sporting CP U19 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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