18/03/2026
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
33%
Draw
31%
32%
Away Win
36%
67%
Under 2.5
62%
33%
Over 2.5
38%
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
65%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chernihiv
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Yarud Mariupol
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+46% /
+46%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+84%
/
+4%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
270 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chernihiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Yarud Mariupol
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
4
Corners
13
The Meetings
13.09.2023
Chernihiv
0-1
HT 0-0
Yarud Mariupol
UKR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Yarud Mariupol
UKR2
POST-MATCH
Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chernihiv and Yarud Mariupol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol?
Chernihiv 0-0 Yarud Mariupol in the Ukraine - Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernihiv win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chernihiv 35%, draw 33%, Yarud Mariupol 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chernihiv) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Chernihiv)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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