Caracas FC 4-2 Trujillanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.68
Over 2.5
54%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
34%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
59%
+6.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Trujillanos EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.80
+12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
18.8 Crosses 9.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
4-2
AWAY Trujillanos
1.43 xG 1.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Trujillanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC got the better of Trujillanos 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 61% of the ball to Trujillanos's 39%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.43 to 1.73.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Trujillanos?

Caracas FC 4-2 Trujillanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Trujillanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 66%, draw 18%, Trujillanos 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
18 Mar 2026
00:30 Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo La Guaira Analysis →
01:30 Academia Puerto Cabello vs UCV Analysis →
22:30 Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo Tachira Analysis →