Taunton Town 0-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.56
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taunton Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
29.03.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 4-0 HT 2-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İCON
02.04.2022 Taunton Town Taunton Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNGNLP
16.11.2021 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-0 HT 1-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taunton Town
0-1
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Taunton Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Taunton Town had 49% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 51%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Taunton Town and 2.67 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Taunton Town 0-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 30%, draw 26%, Weston-super-Mare 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare)
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