Union Santa Fe 1-2 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 18 Apr 2024

Union Santa Fe
1-2 HT 1-1
Gimnasia Mendoza
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Cup – 2024

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Gimnasia Mendoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 14%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.93/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.02
-40% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / -9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza edged past Union Santa Fe 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Santa Fe at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Union Santa Fe 1-2 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 52%, draw 29%, Gimnasia Mendoza 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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