Rosario Central 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
11%
8.15
X/X
18%
3.69
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
7%
7.41
2/X
7%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.2pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.44/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.33
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
25.2 Crosses 14.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
03.09.2017 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.61 xG 0.87
83% Ball Possession 17%
24 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
523 Passes 53
89% Pass Accuracy 44%
27 Box Touches 6
46 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Rosario Central had 83% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 17%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.61 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra?

Rosario Central 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 46%, draw 31%, Deportivo Riestra 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rosario Central), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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