The Strongest 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.73/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.81
+9% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
21.6 Crosses 5.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
2-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.26 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 313
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, The Strongest had 49% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 51%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.26 to 0.93.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

The Strongest 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 60%, draw 23%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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