Esbjerg 5-2 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+12.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.55/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.63
+27% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Middelfart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
18.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-2 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
5-2
AWAY Middelfart
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg swept aside Middelfart 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Esbjerg had 47% of the ball to Middelfart's 53%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esbjerg and 0.50 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Middelfart?

Esbjerg 5-2 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 46%, draw 23%, Middelfart 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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