Sanat Naft 0-3 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Apr 2024

Sanat Naft
0-3 HT 0-1
Persepolis
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Sanat Naft vs Persepolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 37% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.1pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-7.1pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanat Naft v Persepolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
0.73/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.57
+24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sanat Naft vs Persepolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 2-2 HT 0-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
08.02.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-2 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
31.08.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
06.03.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 2-0 HT 1-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
24.11.2021 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
06.03.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis swept aside Sanat Naft 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (70%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.17 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Persepolis?

Sanat Naft 0-3 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 16%, draw 27%, Persepolis 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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