Ismaily 1-2 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

Ismaily
1-2 HT 0-2
Masr
📅18/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.3
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.90
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.1 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Masr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.42 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
344 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2023 Masr 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
07.09.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 4-0 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
15.12.2019 Masr 0-1 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-2
AWAY Masr
0.86 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
357 Passes 229
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr edged past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Masr found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 58% of the ball to Masr's 42%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.86 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ismaily had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ismaily and 0.33 for Masr.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Masr?

Ismaily 1-2 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 37%, draw 29%, Masr 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MSR More Egypt - Premier League
18 Apr 2024
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