Domzale 1-0 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.24/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.98
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Koper
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
04.05.2023 Koper Koper 2-3 HT 1-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
07.03.2023 Koper Koper 2-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVNK
04.03.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
04.11.2022 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-0
AWAY Koper
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale squeezed past Koper 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Domzale had 37% of the ball to Koper's 63%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Domzale and 1.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Koper?

Domzale 1-0 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Domzale 32%, draw 24%, Koper 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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