Bangkok United 2-2 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.44/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.57
+31% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +83%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
16.2 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangkok United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.82 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
381 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bangkok United
2-2
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.86 xG 0.69
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
493 Passes 162
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United and Lamphun Warrior shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bangkok United at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Bangkok United had 71% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 29%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Bangkok United 2-2 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 61%, draw 20%, Lamphun Warrior 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bangkok United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →