Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
54%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
12%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
54%
Away Win
70%
-15.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.14/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.64
+45% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
13.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
15.10.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-1 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.02.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
20.09.2020 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
27.06.2020 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk saw off Zorya Luhansk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 2.17 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 19%, draw 27%, Shakhtar Donetsk 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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