CA Penarol 1-3 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Torque
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2023 Torque Torque 2-3 HT 2-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.07.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
13.03.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-2 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
25.09.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
24.04.2022 Torque Torque 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
21.10.2021 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 1-0 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
1-3
AWAY Torque
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque beat CA Penarol 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CA Penarol had 52% of the ball to Torque's 48%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Torque.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Torque?

CA Penarol 1-3 Torque in the Uruguay Cup on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 45%, draw 27%, Torque 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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