Guangdong Mingtu 2-2 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.78
Over
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
42%
4-5
12%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangdong Mingtu EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
206 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangdong Mingtu and Shenzhen Juniors shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shenzhen Juniors at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Guangdong Mingtu 2-2 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Guangdong Mingtu 14%, draw 25%, Shenzhen Juniors 61%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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