Universidad Chile 3-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

Universidad Chile
3-1 HT 2-0
La Serena
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Chile - Premier League – 2025

Universidad Chile vs La Serena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universidad Chile v La Serena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +14%
1.66/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.74
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
28.4 Crosses 12.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Universidad Chile vs La Serena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
3W-3D-0L
AWAY La Serena
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.63 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
292 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.10.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
08.05.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
07.09.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
11.04.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
17.12.2020 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
12.10.2020 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 3-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL

Universidad Chile 3-1 La Serena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
3-1
AWAY La Serena
3.10 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
375 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile beat La Serena 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 58% of the ball to La Serena's 42%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.10 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universidad Chile and 0.33 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs La Serena?

Universidad Chile 3-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 64%, draw 22%, La Serena 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ BTTS No
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