Al Nasr 2-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 18 Apr 2025

Al Nasr
2-1 HT 1-0
Al Sharjah
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.04
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.55
6+
11%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Al Sharjah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.96/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.96
+9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +65%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.4 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
18.10.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAECK
14.03.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
23.09.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
11.05.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
22.01.2023 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr nicked a narrow win over Al Sharjah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Nasr found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Nasr and 1.50 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah?

Al Nasr 2-1 Al Sharjah in the UAE - League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 33%, draw 28%, Al Sharjah 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sharjah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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