Sloboda Tuzla 2-3 Radnik Bijeljina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.56
Over
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.70/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
24.09.2024 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 2-0 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
02.04.2022 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 2-1 HT 2-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.10.2021 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 3-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina BOSN
24.07.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 1-2 HT 0-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
30.04.2021 Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 1-2 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sloboda Tuzla
2-3
AWAY Radnik Bijeljina
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sloboda Tuzla vs Radnik Bijeljina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Bijeljina edged past Sloboda Tuzla 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnik Bijeljina as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sloboda Tuzla had 46% of the ball to Radnik Bijeljina's 54%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sloboda Tuzla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 1.00 for Radnik Bijeljina.

What was the final score of Sloboda Tuzla vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Sloboda Tuzla 2-3 Radnik Bijeljina in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sloboda Tuzla vs Radnik Bijeljina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnik Bijeljina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sloboda Tuzla 28%, draw 27%, Radnik Bijeljina 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Bijeljina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Bijeljina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
18 Apr 2025
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