Hatayspor 2-3 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.23
Over
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.57
2-3
40%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.25
6+
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.21
1/2
9%
22.9
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
10%
8.25
X/2
14%
4.53
X/X
11%
5.24
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.48
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.17/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.56
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -45%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.5 Crosses 24.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Konyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
24.02.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
08.10.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
10.09.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
15.05.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
22.12.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
2-3
AWAY Konyaspor
1.36 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
370 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor squeezed past Hatayspor 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Konyaspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 53% of the ball to Konyaspor's 47%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.36 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Konyaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.83 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Konyaspor?

Hatayspor 2-3 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Konyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 29%, draw 23%, Konyaspor 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Konyaspor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Konyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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