KMC 2-1 Dodoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.74
Over
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.03
No Pick
68%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.8pp
32%
BTTS Yes
45%
-13.0pp
68%
BTTS No
55%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KMC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dodoma EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.30
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KMC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dodoma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.11.2024 Dodoma Dodoma 2-1 KMC KMC Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
20.02.2022 KMC KMC 2-0 Dodoma Dodoma Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KMC
2-1
AWAY Dodoma
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KMC vs Dodoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KMC edged past Dodoma 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KMC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KMC had 38% of the ball to Dodoma's 62%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KMC and 1.00 for Dodoma.

What was the final score of KMC vs Dodoma?

KMC 2-1 Dodoma in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KMC vs Dodoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a KMC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KMC 46%, draw 29%, Dodoma 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KMC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KMC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →