Leek Town 3-2 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.79
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Whitby Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
15.02.2025 Leek Town Leek Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
19.10.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-0 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town squeezed past Whitby Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Leek Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leek Town and 0.67 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Whitby Town?

Leek Town 3-2 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 35%, draw 26%, Whitby Town 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Whitby Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
18 Apr 2026
17:00 Warrington Town vs Workington Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Spalding United Analysis →
17:00 Banbury United vs Redditch United Analysis →
17:00 Harborough Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →
17:00 Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
17:00 Kettering Town vs Halesowen Town Analysis →