Smedby AIS 3-1 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.58/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
+36% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smedby AIS
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nacka Iliria
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.10.2023 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS 5-0 HT 2-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
17.06.2023 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria 0-1 HT 0-0 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smedby AIS
3-1
AWAY Nacka Iliria
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Smedby AIS vs Nacka Iliria
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Smedby AIS beat Nacka Iliria 3-1 in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Smedby AIS had 43% of the ball to Nacka Iliria's 57%, shots finished 13-5.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Smedby AIS have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Smedby AIS and 0.00 for Nacka Iliria.

What was the final score of Smedby AIS vs Nacka Iliria?

Smedby AIS 3-1 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smedby AIS vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smedby AIS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Smedby AIS 50%, draw 24%, Nacka Iliria 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smedby AIS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smedby AIS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
18 Apr 2026
14:00 Angby vs Falu BS Analysis →
14:00 Karlslunds IF HFK vs Nyköpings BIS Analysis →
14:00 IK Tord vs IFK Skövde Analysis →
15:00 Bollstanas vs Helges Analysis →
15:00 Enskede IK vs FC Gute Analysis →
15:00 Sunnersta vs Franke Analysis →