Naesby 1-2 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
54%
Away Win
51%
+2.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.56/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.76
+35% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nykobing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
25.10.2025 Nykobing Nykobing 5-3 HT 3-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
20.09.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-2 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN3
18.10.2022 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAK
04.09.2015 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 2-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing nicked a narrow win over Naesby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nykobing as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 2.25 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Nykobing?

Naesby 1-2 Nykobing in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nykobing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naesby 27%, draw 19%, Nykobing 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nykobing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nykobing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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