Busan I Park 2-1 Suwon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 18 Apr 2026

Busan I Park
2-1 HT 2-0
Suwon FC
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Busan I Park vs Suwon FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busan I Park v Suwon FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.10
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
15.1 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Busan I Park vs Suwon FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.31 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
300 Passes 231
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2019 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon FC GKOR2
06.10.2018 Suwon FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
25.08.2018 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon FC GKOR2
21.05.2018 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon FC GKOR2
15.04.2018 Suwon FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2

Busan I Park 2-1 Suwon FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-1
AWAY Suwon FC
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
213 Passes 462
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Suwon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park nicked a narrow win over Suwon FC 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busan I Park had 35% of the ball to Suwon FC's 65%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Busan I Park and 0.60 for Suwon FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Suwon FC?

Busan I Park 2-1 Suwon FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Suwon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 29%, draw 28%, Suwon FC 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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