AFC Amsterdamsche 1-5 Hoek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoek EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.05
-5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoek
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.11.2025 Hoek Hoek 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1-5
AWAY Hoek
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Hoek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoek ran out comfortable winners over AFC Amsterdamsche 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hoek found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 48% of the ball to Hoek's 52%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Hoek?

AFC Amsterdamsche 1-5 Hoek in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Hoek?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 36%, draw 30%, Hoek 35%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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