İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 18 Apr 2026

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Polonya (K)
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Women's World Cup – 2027

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Polonya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
50%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) v Polonya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Polonya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonya (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.52 xG 0.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
312 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.04.2026 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) KDK
09.10.2018 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) HAZ

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0 Polonya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1-0
AWAY Polonya (K)
1.93 xG 0.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
335 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) squeezed past Polonya (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) had 50% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.93 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) and 3.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Polonya (K)?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0 Polonya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 57%, draw 21%, Polonya (K) 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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