Malta (K) 2-4 Kuzey İrlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.91
Over 2.5
61%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.99
No
37%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
46%
+16.6pp
37%
BTTS No
54%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malta (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+93% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malta (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.34 xG 1.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
177 Passes 304
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2026 Kuzey İrlanda (K) Kuzey İrlanda (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Malta (K) Malta (K) KDK
12.07.2024 Malta (K) Malta (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Kuzey İrlanda (K) Kuzey İrlanda (K) KAVŞE
05.04.2024 Kuzey İrlanda (K) Kuzey İrlanda (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Malta (K) Malta (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malta (K)
2-4
AWAY Kuzey İrlanda (K)
0.64 xG 1.32
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
172 Passes 450
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malta (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey İrlanda (K) beat Malta (K) 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kuzey İrlanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Malta (K) had 33% of the ball to Kuzey İrlanda (K)'s 67%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.64 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kuzey İrlanda (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Malta (K) and 2.00 for Kuzey İrlanda (K).

What was the final score of Malta (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)?

Malta (K) 2-4 Kuzey İrlanda (K) in the Women's World Cup on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malta (K) vs Kuzey İrlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey İrlanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Malta (K) 21%, draw 20%, Kuzey İrlanda (K) 59%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey İrlanda (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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