Nordstrand 1-5 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.0pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
68%
Away Win
70%
-1.6pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.3pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nordstrand EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 75%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.42/3.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/1.17
-72% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nordstrand
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baerum
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Baerum Baerum 3-3 HT 2-0 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
POST-MATCH Nordstrand vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum cruised past Nordstrand 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Nordstrand vs Baerum?

Nordstrand 1-5 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nordstrand vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Nordstrand 17%, draw 14%, Baerum 68%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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