North Geelong Warriors 3-4 Moreland Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 18 Apr 2026

North Geelong Warriors
3-4
Moreland Zebras
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2026

North Geelong Warriors vs Moreland Zebras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.5pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Geelong Warriors v Moreland Zebras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland Zebras EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH North Geelong Warriors vs Moreland Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland Zebras edged past North Geelong Warriors 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreland Zebras as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of North Geelong Warriors vs Moreland Zebras?

North Geelong Warriors 3-4 Moreland Zebras in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Geelong Warriors vs Moreland Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split North Geelong Warriors 34%, draw 21%, Moreland Zebras 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreland Zebras), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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