Qingdao Jonoon 3-5 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.58
Over 2.5
64%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
10.95
2-3 Goals
33%
2.66
4-5 Goals
36%
2.31
6+ Goals
11%
3.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
21.0
1/2
6%
18.7
1/X
4%
28.5
X/1
4%
32.5
X/2
10%
3.78
X/X EV+ ✗
14%
14.2
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
46%
1.25
2/X
6%
30.5
Value flag · X/X at 14.2 — our 14% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
11%
+12.9pp
62%
Away Win
81%
-19.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
18%
+17.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
82%
-17.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 85%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.39/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.37/0.83
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
207 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
14.0 Crosses 29.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.87 xG 3.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 526
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 HT 0-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
08.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-5 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
10.05.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-5
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.63 xG 7.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 32
4 Shots on Target 14
1 Corners 18
286 Passes 462
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 72
6 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port got the better of Qingdao Jonoon 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 39% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 61%, shots finished 6-32, expected goals 1.63 to 7.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 4.00 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-5 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 14%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port 62%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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