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Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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2-1
HT 0-1
Aston Villa (K)
İNKPL
Aston Villa (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City (K) edged past Aston Villa (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 38% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 62%, shots finished 6-31, expected goals 1.04 to 4.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester City (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester City (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 10%, draw 17%, Manchester City (K) 73%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.