Corinthians 4-5 Cobh Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 24% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobh Wanderers EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Cobh Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobh Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 5-4 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Cobh Wanderers?

Corinthians 4-5 Cobh Wanderers in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Cobh Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 49%, draw 23%, Cobh Wanderers 28%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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